Bowl Green
W-L: (18-12) PR = 97.8714Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 A Niagara (13-23, 96.2) 0- 2 1011 A Niagara (13-23, 96.2) 2- 5 1024 A L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 4- 1 1025 A L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 3- 2 1031 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 4- 4 1101 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 2- 3 1107 A Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 4- 4 1108 A Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 1- 1 1114 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 9- 5 1115 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 2 1121 A St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 3- 2 1122 A St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 2- 6 1128 H Princeton (20-13, 97.8) 4- 1 1129 H Princeton (20-13, 97.8) 4- 3 1205 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 2- 3 1206 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 4- 3 102 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 2- 2 103 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 5- 3 109 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 3- 1 110 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 1 116 H L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 3- 1 117 H L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 0- 1 123 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 3- 1 124 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 5- 1 130 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 3- 3 130 A Alaska (11-14, 97.5) 1- 5 131 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 2- 2 206 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 2- 3 207 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 3- 1 213 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 0 214 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 220 H Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 4- 5 221 H Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 1- 1 227 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 1- 0 228 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 4- 3 306 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 3- 5 307 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 A Niagara 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.29
1011 A Niagara 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.29
1024 A L Superor 4- 1 3 1 + 2.32
1025 A L Superor 3- 2 1 1 0.32
1031 H Bemidji St 4- 4 0 1 -1.07
1101 H Bemidji St 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.07
1107 A Minn St 4- 4 0 -1 0.66
1108 A Minn St 1- 1 0 -1 0.66
1114 H Ferris St 9- 5 4 2 + 2.44
1115 H Ferris St 5- 2 3 2 1.44
1121 A St. Thomas 3- 2 1 -1 1.57
1122 A St. Thomas 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.43
1128 H Princeton 4- 1 3 0 + 2.61
1129 H Princeton 4- 3 1 0 0.61
1205 H No Mich 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.49
1206 H No Mich 4- 3 1 2 -1.49
102 A Ohio State 2- 2 0 -1 1.19
103 H Ohio State 5- 3 2 0 + 2.46
109 A Ferris St 3- 1 2 1 1.17
110 A Ferris St 5- 1 4 1 + 3.17
116 H L Superor 3- 1 2 1 0.59
123 A Bemidji St 3- 1 2 0 1.66
124 A Bemidji St 5- 1 4 0 + 3.66
130 A Notre Dame 3- 3 0 0 -0.37
130 A Alaska 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.05
131 H Notre Dame 2- 2 0 1 -1.10
206 H St. Thomas 2- 3 -1 0 -1.16
207 H St. Thomas 3- 1 2 0 1.84
214 A Augustana 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.00
220 H Minn St 4- 5 -1 0 -1.07
221 H Minn St 1- 1 0 0 -0.07
228 A Mich Tech 4- 3 1 -1 1.53
306 A Mich Tech 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.47
307 A Mich Tech 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Niagara 2- 5 -3 1 -- -4.29 130 A Alaska 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.05 1010 A Niagara 0- 2 -2 1 - -3.29 1101 H Bemidji St 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.07 1122 A St. Thomas 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.43 1205 H No Mich 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1024 A L Superor 4- 1 3 1 + 2.32 1114 H Ferris St 9- 5 4 2 + 2.44 1128 H Princeton 4- 1 3 0 + 2.61 103 H Ohio State 5- 3 2 0 + 2.46 110 A Ferris St 5- 1 4 1 + 3.17 124 A Bemidji St 5- 1 4 0 + 3.66 |
Bowl Green Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Army | Bowl Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bowl Green | |
| Bentley | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Bowl Green | |
| Canisius | Bowl Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Holy Cross | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Mercyhurst | Bowl Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Niagara | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| RIT | Bowl Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bowl Green | |
| Rob Morris | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) | Bowl Green | |
| Sacred Heart | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Bowl Green | |
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 4- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St 6- 1 vs 3- 1 | ||
| Minnesota | Bowl Green | Bowl Green 1- 0 vs 4- 1 | ||
| Notre Dame | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Ohio State | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Wisconsin | Bowl Green | Bowl Green 2- 0 vs 5- 1 | ||
| Augustana | Augustana | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 3) | Augustana | |
| Bemidji St | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| Ferris St | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| L Superor | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| Mich Tech | Mich Tech | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) | Mich Tech | |
| Minn St | Minn St | Minn St | ||
| No Mich | Bowl Green | Bowl Green 4- 1 vs 0- 9 | ||
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Alaska | Alaska | Alaska | ||
| Alaska Anch | Bowl Green | Bowl Green 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lindenwood | Bowl Green | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| LIU | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| Stonehill | Bowl Green | Bowl Green 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brown | Bowl Green | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Clarkson | Bowl Green | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 3) | Bowl Green | |
| Colgate | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Dartmouth | |
| Harvard | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bowl Green | |
| Princeton | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Quinnipiac | |
| RPI | Bowl Green | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 3) | Bowl Green | |
| St Lawrence | Bowl Green | Bowl Green 2- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Union | Union | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Union | |
| Yale | Bowl Green | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Bowl Green | |
| Boston Col | Boston Col | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Boston Col | |
| Boston Univ | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Maine | Maine | Maine | ||
| UMass | UMass | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | UMass | |
| Merrimack | Merrimack | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Merrimack | |
| New Hamp | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| Northeastern | Northeastern | Northeastern | ||
| Providence | Providence | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Providence | |
| UMass Lowell | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Bowl Green | |
| Vermont | Bowl Green | Bowl Green | ||
| Arizona St | Bowl Green | Bowl Green 1- 0 vs 4- 1 | ||
| Colorado Col | Colorado Col | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Colorado Col | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Miami | Miami | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Miami | |
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 3- 0 vs 0- 0 | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | North Dakota 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Omaha | Bowl Green | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 2) | Bowl Green | |
| St Cloud St | St Cloud St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | St Cloud St | |
| Western Mich | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 1) | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 35
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Niagara (13-23, 96.2) 0- 2 -3.69 1.00 0.36 0.97 -1.61
0 A Niagara (13-23, 96.2) 2- 5 -3.69 1.00 0.36 0.97 -1.61
0 A L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 4- 1 -3.07 1.38 0.36 0.97 3.39
0 A L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 3- 2 -3.07 1.38 0.36 0.97 3.39
0 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 4- 4 -2.73 1.72 -0.36 0.97 ********
0 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 2- 3 -2.73 1.72 -0.36 0.97 -1.50
0 A Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 4- 4 -1.74 2.71 0.36 0.97 ********
0 A Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 1- 1 -1.74 2.71 0.36 0.97 ********
0 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 9- 5 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.97 1.66
0 H Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 2 -3.23 1.22 -0.36 0.97 1.66
0 A St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 3- 2 -1.82 2.63 0.36 0.97 5.81
0 A St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 2- 6 -1.82 2.63 0.36 0.97 -0.71
0 H Princeton (20-13, 97.8) 4- 1 -2.06 2.39 -0.36 0.97 3.94
0 H Princeton (20-13, 97.8) 4- 3 -2.06 2.39 -0.36 0.97 3.94
0 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 2- 3 -4.15 1.00 -0.36 0.97 -2.19
0 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 4- 3 -4.15 1.00 -0.36 0.97 1.23
0 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 2- 2 -1.20 3.25 0.36 0.97 ********
0 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 5- 3 -1.20 3.25 -0.36 0.97 5.60
0 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 3- 1 -3.23 1.22 0.36 0.97 3.08
0 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 1 -3.23 1.22 0.36 0.97 3.08
0 H L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 3- 1 -3.07 1.38 -0.36 0.97 1.97
0 H L Superor (13-22, 96.8) 0- 1 -3.07 1.38 -0.36 0.97 -1.67
0 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 3- 1 -2.73 1.72 0.36 0.97 4.04
0 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 5- 1 -2.73 1.72 0.36 0.97 4.04
0 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 3- 3 -2.76 1.69 0.36 0.97 ********
0 A Alaska (11-14, 97.5) 1- 5 -2.45 2.00 0.36 0.97 -1.01
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 2- 2 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 0.97 ********
0 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 2- 3 -1.82 2.63 -0.36 0.97 -1.06
0 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 3- 1 -1.82 2.63 -0.36 0.97 4.40
0 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 1- 0 -1.40 3.05 0.36 0.97 6.64
0 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.40 3.05 0.36 0.97 -0.50
0 H Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 4- 5 -1.74 2.71 -0.36 0.97 -1.02
0 H Minn St (21-10, 98.2) 1- 1 -1.74 2.71 -0.36 0.97 ********
0 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 1- 0 -1.87 2.58 0.36 0.97 5.73
0 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 4- 3 -1.87 2.58 0.36 0.97 5.73
0 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 3- 5 -1.87 2.58 0.36 0.97 -0.73
0 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 2- 3 -1.87 2.58 0.36 0.97 -0.73
------
********
|
winning pts = 69.3513 losing points = -14.3501
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------